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PC Sales Growth: Slow and Jagged
Future PC Sales Will Be Strongly Impacted by Economic
Cycles
Buffalo Grove IL, May 7, 2002-
After 25 years of strong growth, the PC industry has reached maturity and
its future growth will be determined by economic conditions. Future PC unit
sales growth will remain below 10% and economic recessions will produce PC
sales contractions as we saw in 2001. However, the PC industry will see long
term growth, but year-to-year growth are no longer certain. PCs-in-use will
continue to grow in all regions of the world and will double by 2010 in many
regions. PCs-in-use in the USA reached 175M in 2001 and will pass 300M by
2010. Worldwide PCs-in-use surpassed 525M in 2001 and will top 1.1B units
in 2007.
| Worldwide |
24,175 |
57,985 |
129,670 |
133,920 |
158,790 |
206,690 |
| North America |
10,290 |
23,030 |
49,450 |
46,990 |
52,570 |
60,900 |
| USA |
9,540 |
21,370 |
46,005 |
43,450 |
48,980 |
56,830 |
| Western Europe |
8,050 |
15,870 |
32,280 |
32,490 |
36,890 |
46,230 |
| Eastern Europe |
555 |
2,180 |
5,070 |
6,320 |
8,050 |
11,850 |
| Asia-Pacific |
3,825 |
12,635 |
31,190 |
35,590 |
44,620 |
61,960 |
| South/Central America |
765 |
2,570 |
6,840 |
7,360 |
9,330 |
14,060 |
| Middle East/Africa |
690 |
1,700 |
4,850 |
5,470 |
7,330 |
11,690 |
These are some of the results from a new market research report by eTForecasts.
"Annual PC sales is now much more dependent on replacement sales than
sales to new customers" says Dr. Egil Juliussen, the author of the report.
"This means that the economic life of the average PC will become the
largest factor in determining annual PC unit sales".
In 2007 the PC industry will pass another milestone when worldwide PC sales
will surpass 200M units, but this is two year later than was expected in early
2000. W. Europe and N. America have the highest PC adoption rates and consequently
will have the slowest growth rates and have the highest risk for PC sales
declines during economic downturns.
eTForecasts publishes market research reports for the PC, PDA, information
appliances and Internet industries. |
